NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated December 19, 2023
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Thorne | 28 | 9 | 66.7% | 1 | 33.3 | 1 |
| 1 | Nick Boucher | 28 | 9 | 66.7% | 1 | 33.0 | 2 |
| 3 | Andrew Batchelor | 23 | 9 | 54.8% | 3 | 28.2 | 3 |
| 4 | Gavin Gray | 22 | 9 | 52.4% | 4 | 26.9 | 4 |
| 5 | Luke Phelan | 21 | 9 | 50.0% | 5 | 25.2 | 5 |
| 6 | Dan Ellenberger | 20 | 9 | 47.6% | 6 | 23.7 | 7 |
| 6 | Matt Hogel | 20 | 9 | 47.6% | 6 | 25.2 | 5 |
| 8 | Andrew Moeller | 19 | 9 | 45.2% | 8 | 22.9 | 9 |
| 8 | Karl Loiseau | 19 | 9 | 45.2% | 8 | 23.6 | 8 |
| 10 | Steve Creaser | 13 | 9 | 31.0% | 10 | 16.6 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 11 | 13.2 | BAL | 0.69 |
| Detroit Lions | 10 | 11.5 | MIN | 0.61 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 8.6 | JAX | 0.46 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 11 | 12.7 | SF | 0.31 |
| Cleveland Browns | 9 | 10.6 | HOU | 0.41 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 8 | 9.7 | ATL | 0.46 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 9 | 11.3 | LV | 0.81 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 7 | 8.7 | NO | 0.64 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 7 | 8.2 | DET | 0.39 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 10 | 12.6 | NYG | 0.82 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 7.3 | IND | 0.54 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 6 | 7.0 | KC | 0.19 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 10 | 12.0 | MIA | 0.45 |
| Green Bay Packers | 6 | 7.8 | CAR | 0.67 |
| New York Giants | 5 | 5.4 | PHI | 0.18 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 10 | 11.5 | DAL | 0.55 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 8 | 9.4 | PIT | 0.57 |
| Carolina Panthers | 2 | 2.8 | GB | 0.33 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 8 | 10.0 | TB | 0.54 |
| New Orleans Saints | 7 | 8.6 | LA | 0.36 |
| Chicago Bears | 5 | 6.6 | ARI | 0.64 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 8 | 10.2 | LAC | 0.82 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 7 | 8.0 | CIN | 0.43 |
| Washington Commanders | 4 | 4.7 | NYJ | 0.39 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Denver Broncos | 7 | 8.9 | NE | 0.72 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 7 | 8.9 | TEN | 0.59 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 5 | 5.8 | BUF | 0.18 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| New York Jets | 5 | 6.6 | WAS | 0.61 |
| Tennessee Titans | 5 | 6.1 | SEA | 0.41 |
| New England Patriots | 3 | 3.9 | DEN | 0.28 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Strength of Schedule in the coming weeks
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 11 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| Detroit Lions | 10 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 30 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 11 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 9 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 8 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 9 | 2 | 11 | -2 | 5 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 7 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 7 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 10 | 1 | 11 | -1 | 2 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 20 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 6 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 10 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 1 |
| New York Giants | 5 | 19 | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| Green Bay Packers | 6 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 8 | 5 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
| Miami Dolphins | 10 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| Carolina Panthers | 2 | 26 | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 8 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 3 |
| New Orleans Saints | 7 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| Chicago Bears | 5 | 23 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 8 | 4 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 7 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| Washington Commanders | 4 | 25 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 5 | 8 | 9 | -4 | 14 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 7 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| Denver Broncos | 7 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| New York Jets | 5 | 10 | 8 | -3 | 15 |
| Tennessee Titans | 5 | 12 | 8 | -3 | 14 |
| New England Patriots | 3 | 24 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
Draft Results
